Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.948434 4.554282 5.218696 6.000964 6.896392 7.888957 9.072325
2025-01-19 2.935342 3.687520 4.581530 5.720890 7.132893 8.823976 11.001977
2025-01-26 2.473167 3.345579 4.457160 5.973766 7.985622 10.559358 14.098779
2025-02-02 2.189645 3.163318 4.482731 6.394589 9.087078 12.736191 18.049924
2025-02-09 1.885779 2.892320 4.334707 6.541795 9.822267 14.504845 21.681971
2025-02-16 1.630623 2.641917 4.167106 6.619735 10.448173 16.175519 25.369716
2025-02-23 1.372632 2.340826 3.872278 6.451405 10.664330 17.246251 28.272838
2025-03-02 1.140686 2.041246 3.530824 6.150246 10.614155 17.875350 30.531331
2025-03-09 1.011134 1.891471 3.408667 6.184555 11.102008 19.400864 34.396487
2025-03-16 0.873562 1.705198 3.195998 6.028969 11.236466 20.337983 37.356774
2025-03-23 0.826073 1.676234 3.255742 6.362292 12.266861 22.918156 43.459028
2025-03-30 0.773928 1.629910 3.275644 6.620593 13.184304 25.386248 49.617659
2025-04-06 0.695975 1.523947 3.173873 6.644383 13.684465 27.187642 54.831486
2025-04-13 0.591304 1.346841 2.907933 6.307254 13.437420 27.549782 57.335991
2025-04-20 0.556775 1.314548 2.932623 6.568423 14.428951 30.434589 65.159448
2025-04-27 0.541015 1.321465 3.040556 7.019429 15.870212 34.378930 75.584379
2025-05-04 0.502661 1.270395 3.015005 7.174469 16.694138 37.137959 83.837128
2025-05-11 0.463120 1.210236 2.960535 7.256154 17.364006 39.639675 91.810599
2025-05-18 0.410831 1.110380 2.800289 7.070154 17.400918 40.765067 96.869561
2025-05-25 0.356814 0.997238 2.592151 6.739912 17.055360 40.989148 99.895226
2025-06-01 0.329197 0.949013 2.536640 6.776765 17.592629 43.284297 107.963479
2025-06-08 0.294182 0.875122 2.406123 6.606392 17.597987 44.332306 113.184843
2025-06-15 0.287355 0.878979 2.477965 6.970372 18.995070 48.859342 127.330575